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Saturday, August 03, 2002


Small win for the good guys...

From the web sirte of the National Right To Work Foundation, a decision in favor of openness.
San Francisco, Calif. (August 2, 2002) – The United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit has ruled that local affiliates of the California Teacher Association (CTA) must provide teachers with an independent verification of how they spend employees’ forced union dues...

..."The court’s decision is a small step toward preventing teachers from getting ripped off by union officials,” said Stefan Gleason, Vice President of the National Right to Work Foundation. “For too long, union bosses have gotten away with hiding their use of employees’ forced union dues to support their radical political agenda.” ...

...The CTA and its national affiliate the National Education Association (NEA), are two of the most politically active unions in the country. Every year, both organizations seize millions of dollars in compulsory dues to support candidates and causes that many of their members find objectionable. Polls have consistently shown that a majority of rank-and-file union members object to having their dues spent for political activities...

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Beatnixity

I was writing about conformity yesterday, and, thinking about it some more, I would add: If anybody tells you they are a nonconformist, it's probably hokum. They really mean that they are conforming to some group that calls itself nonconformist. I'm a beatnik, I wear the Beatnik uniform, therefore I'm a nonconformist. (Yeah, yeah, I know they didn't call themselves beatniks and that some people are still mad at Herb for coining the word.)

Now me, I'm a nonconformist. But it's just by accident; somehow I always seem to come at life from a different angle than other people. So my wittiest sallies are met with silence, or maybe ignored like impolite sounds. I'd like to conform, I just never got the hang of it. It's a flaw. If I could find a group of people like me, I would gladly conform like crazy in order to fit in with the gang...
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New garb at DODGEBLOG



DODGEBLOG, written by Andrew Ian Dodge and MommaBear, has a cool new look, with a crest. I like it, it has bears, wolves, octopi, and various curious and obscure symbols.

Back before she was bloggiting herself, MommaBear used to pepper other webloggers with interesting tid-bits culled from the news. Lots of them. I used to believe the rumors that she was CIA, and felt a quiet pride in my government for being so hip to the 'net. Yet now I begin to wonder ... the crest includes an opaque motto: Dodgeblogium regnat Vis a Cthulhu.

I can't imagine what that might mean, but the feeling-tone evoked is decidedly peculiar. It gives rise to obscure feelings of unease, even dread. Could the waters here be deeper, murkier, than we suspect?
That is not dead which
can eternal lie,
And with strange aeons
even death may die.
-- Abdul Alhazred:
Al Azif

Friday, August 02, 2002




Long-lost delights, and myths, of the 1950's

I mentioned hearing sonic booms in my youth. The sonic booms were connected, no doubt, with the threat of Soviet bombers. For defense against bombers, our town also had a Nike Missile base, (LA-29, Brea/Puente) which I visited, and remember vividly.

Nowadays we run our dog at Fort Funston, here in SF, and the first time I went to the parking lot there, (Picture Here) I knew I was on a former Nike Battery. The lot is a palimpsest of ancient things revealed by a patchwork of asphalt repairs. You can still see three rows of four rectangles, and #3 in each row is different. The Nike launchers were always in rows of four, with #3 able to retract into a bunker to be quickly reloaded. This was a terrific puzzle to me as a boy -- if retractors were good, then why not have them on every launcher? (I had not yet discovered the artistic charm of asymmetry.)

There are certain images that have become established in our culture concerning America in the 50's. I think they are, to put it mildly, not reliable. I think certain people hate the 1950's, because that was when many of their assumptions were revealed to be false. They happen to be the same people who make books and magazines and movies, and so they have filled the popular mind with myths and distortions.

One of those myths is 1950's as a period of stultifying conformity. This is baloney. Most people conform to the norms of their group most of the time. What certain people hate was that millions were conforming to the wrong script. They were supposed to be playing downtrodden blue-collar workers humbly grateful to leftist organizers and intellectuals who would protect them from Capitalism. If they had conformed within that role, no one would have minded. (And when anybody conformed to the Beatnik role, or the existentialist philosopher role, or the tweedy college prof role, that was just ducky)

In fact, in the 1950's, Capitalism was sucking huge numbers of workers up into more-or-less middle-class life. And middle class was being smoothed down to something that a whole lot of people could fit into (for instance, middle class no longer meant having a cook or a maid!)

Large numbers of Americans (and probably people in other developed countries, though I can't speak for them) were conforming to middle-class norms because they were tired of being poor and just scraping by during two decades of depression and war, and now they finally had a chance to make a good life.

And what did they do when they had some financial security? They started doing more things than people had ever done before. The 50's were the start of an enormous expansion in the variety of American life. We had a swimming pool when I was growing up, and I remember some of our friends and neighbors using it to learn the very new art of Scuba. They had to cut and paste up their own wet-suits! They were entering a new realm of activity never seen on earth before. But social critics would probably have called them middle-class suburban conformists.
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A little something made me feel very good about the economy today. (Though not necessarily the Stock Market.)

I don't think highly of the idea of expressing oneself with bumper stickers. But there is one I've seen that I kinda want; it says I Like Airplane Noise.

On a whim I Googled it, and within 20 seconds I was at a web site that was asking me to add this to my shopping cart. Now that, my friends, is a productivity gain. A trifle in itself, but if this sort of frictionless activity is becoming the norm (and I'm pretty sure it is), then the world's economy is like a rusty squeaking machine that is suddenly being bathed in oil.

I suspect something like this happened when telephones came in. Life didn't change, really, but everything moved a little more smoothly.
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P. Krugman
KRUGMAN TRUTH SQUAD
#31: THE DOUBLE DIP



As we have pointed out before, Paul Krugman is a very pessimistic guy. But when his natural pessimism coincides with his partisan interests (electing Democrats)–Watch Out! In today's column, "Dubya's Double Dip" (07/02/02), he unabashedly celebrates the recent economic data indicating a slower U.S. expansion rate in the 2nd quarter than in the 1st quarter. And, once again, he quotes and requotes Stephen Roach of Morgan Stanley on the prospects for the dreaded "double dip." If you are wondering why Roach gets so much ink in Krugman's column it's because he is the only economist in the western world forecasting a double dip. Krugman himself has never actually committed to such a forecast. Coward that he is, he would rather stick out Roach's neck. But he is clearly hoping.

Let's take a look at this column. After a Hollywood intro, Krugman gets serious by pointing out the obvious–that the 2001 recession was unusual.

"The basic point is that the recession of 2001 wasn't a typical postwar slump…"

Indeed. But in the laundry list of reasons that follows he never once mentions the real reason that this slump was unusual, namely that it barely qualified as a recession at all. Until yesterday's GDP revisions there were no two consecutive quarters of negative growth. Even after the revisions, they occurred by the slimmest of margins. Despite the straw men Krugman erects to make his case, there are few economists who would expect a boom to follow a very mild recession. See Squad report #14.

A related point is that the current unemployment rate of 5.9% is below the level most economists, including Krugman, would have thought feasible just 5 years ago. The genius of Alan Greenspan is that he saw in the rising productivity growth rates of the late 90s an opportunity to lower unemployment rates to levels most economists considered impossible. And he acted. These lower rates are things Krugman the Pessimist could never have imagined. It's little wonder he never mentions the "natural rate of unemployment" anymore.

Finally, there is the question of productivity growth itself. While this question is separate from the prospects for single vs. double dip recessions, the continued encouraging growth in productivity does mean that the speed limit on the economy has been raised. The heart of the new economy ticks on. As we have pointed out before (see Squad report #7) this an issue that hangs over Krugman like the Sword of Damocles. What is left of his rapidly evaporating credibility as an economist was made by pushing the low growth, pessimistic economic environment of the 1970s as a permanent state of affairs. See Squad report #19-B.

Krugman continues to hold a losing hand.
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Spacecraft at your local airport?

In Pork Versus Pork, Rand discusses congressional plans to develop Wallops Island in Virginia as a new Cape Canaveral.
... But these requirements are one of the things that make previous (and current) generation launch vehicles expensive, unreliable and unwieldy. A next-generation launch vehicle, if it's worthy of the name, should take an entirely different approach to launch operations, and if it does so, most of what we think we know about requirements for spaceports is wrong. This is bad news for both the Cape and Wallops Island.

For one thing, unless it's having a really bad day, it won't be shedding parts downrange, any more than aircraft do. Space transports will be fully reusable, or they won't be affordable. And there will be no "range safety devices" (a euphemism for explosive charges to blow up the vehicle) in space transports for the same reason that we don't put them in air transports--the vehicle (and its contents) are too valuable to simply destroy it if it seems to be off course.

If some of the concepts for new space transports pan out, they will perhaps take off horizontally, with much lower thrust, and much less noise, and they won't sit on scarce and expensive launch pads for weeks or months, but take off on standard runways. Payloads will be integrated into removable cargo canisters, and cargo and passengers will be loaded into them on a tarmac, rather than in high-bay assembly buildings.

If that's the case, the spaceports that support them could be almost anywhere--not just at verges between land and ocean, launched from government-subsidized facilities, with men hovering over buttons that will destroy them at the slightest variation from plan...

Thursday, August 01, 2002




Here are some more of my friend's reminiscences ...

• When paper currency was larger- yes, larger than it is today; and bore the note "payable to the bearer on demand in silver". A postage stamp cost four cents, and pocket change might contain Indian Head pennies, Buffalo nickels, Mercury dimes, Walking Liberty quarters, or Benjamin Franklin half-dollars. (Every coin larger than a nickel was silver, of course.) Morgan and Peace silver dollars were common- except to a kid like me.

• Howdy Doody, Sheriff John, and three channels in black-and-white that signed off late at night after playing the "Star-Spangled Banner" while a scratchy film clip of a flag waving was played. This was followed, rather improbably, by an Indian in a circle against a Cartesian axis while a shrill, irritating tone sounded endlessly. Stations would go off the air, either displaying "We are experiencing technical difficulty. Please Stand By" or by disappearing altogether.

• Before the "Big Three". (For the really young, this refers to General Motors, Chrysler, and Ford before the Europeans and later, the Japanese drained the oil out of their crankcases). There were Hudsons, Nashes, Packards, Studebakers, Kaisers, Fraziers, Willys cars and trucks, Ramblers, De Sotos, and teensy Crosleys. Fordson Tractors with huge steel paddle-wheels rusting in the corner of weed-choked fields with trucks like Diamond-T, Reo, and La France. I clearly remember a tiny, bug-shaped Messerschmidt car (driven by an Orthodox Jew with a huge beard- the irony escaped me at the time). My grandfather told me about a car called the Tucker- how revolutionary it was, and how Tucker was blackballed; and how unfair it all was.

• Canning (which, despite the name, was done in clear glass Ball jars), and a pantry full of these jars; the insides sealed with a layer of wax. Root cellars and wells, barns and tool sheds, and basements dark and mysterious. Return-for-Deposit bottles, "tin" cans made of steel required openers.

• Lead toothpaste tubes!!! Lead paint, lead flashing, leaded gasoline, and lead-and-oakum bell joints on sewer pipes. Everything else was made of, or coated with, asbestos. Bug spray was DDT propelled with Freon.
*While writing a possible next post, I thought of another delight from the 50's: SONIC BOOMS! They seemed to come often. The house would shake and the windows would rattle, and I knew neat things were happening in the sky (perhaps the grown-ups felt differently.)

Wednesday, July 31, 2002




Just tell us how to pronounce it...

I've been bothered by this for a long time: It's hard to think about something if you don't have a word for it, but it's also hard if you don't know how to pronounce the word.

But there is some sort of taboo against telling how things are pronounced. For instance, Charlene and I own a lot of books on gardening and plants, some of them very technical. But they never let on how to pronounce the words. In the index of Jones there are 44 entries for the genus Pteris. But does he tell me how to pronounce it? No way. (I think it's terris)

I just read the following in Jay Nordlinger's Impromptus:
...The recent Spectator, earlier mentioned, had a review of Leonardo Sciascia’s new book, The Moro Affair. Sciascia is a great, Sicilian author, one I studied in college. The reviewer lamented that Sciascia wasn’t a bigger deal in Britain, offering several explanations, including, “Might it be, even, that English readers are not quite sure how to pronounce his name, so don’t ask for him in bookshops or recommend him to their friends?” (It’s “sha-sha.”)

I immediately thought of Roger Kimball, who says that this has been a similar problem — the identical problem, actually — for Walter Bagehot, the great British journalist. (It’s “badge-it.”)...
I've stumbled over Bagehot for decades. The publisher of Sciascia's books should put a little pronunciation note on the cover. The public would be grateful. But they won't. It's taboo.

Iaasic Asimov wrote somewhere that when he began adding simple pronunciation hints to his non-fiction science books, he got lots of favorble letters and comments, that knowing how to pronounce the words made the subjects much less intimidating and more enjoyable. I wish other authors would do the same.

Another tid-bit while I'm on the subject. The brothers Loughead of Santa Barbara, California, started an aircraft company in 1926. But the 'venture capitalist' who put up the money made one special demand; phonetic spelling of their name! I don't know how much that helped, but they were successful, you've probably heard of LOCKHEED.

*Update; Hilda Hartling, a librarian, writes: Sir: I appreciated your post about pronunciation of names ... That bugs me even when I'm reading a novel. You feel like a doofus when you don't know how to say an author or character's name -- even if it's going to be said only in your head as you read, never aloud. Madame, you have hit it exactly. Even though you don't need to say the word aloud, it's like hitting a pothole in the road -- one's mental traffic stream is jolted and slowed ...
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The tears for slain children, by men who send their women and children out to die as suicide bombers, are the tears of crocodiles. --Wesley Pruden

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By the way, making popcorn in the microwave is not a good idea. Microwave ovens work by generating radio waves at a frequency that is absorbed by water. Popcorn doesn't have enough water to absorb most of the radiation, and over time you will damage the machine. Those little hot-air poppers are very cheap--we got ours for $15 at Cooking.com. And popcorn with real melted butter tastes better than the glop in those little microwave packets.

Also, water absorbs microwaves much better than frozen water does. That's why it's tricky to defrost things. Once one part of the steak defrosts, the liquid water absorbs most of the 'waves, and that part gets hot while the rest stays frozen.


Tuesday, July 30, 2002




Richard Bennett has a post on:How the New York Times hacks Op-Eds

Op-Ed columns are supposed to represent the point of view of the writer, and not that of the paper in which they're published. They're a primary vehicle for broadening the scope of newspaper's editorial pages, and for bringing voices into the public policy dialog that wouldn't otherwise be represented. This isn't the case at the New York Times, however, where editors require Op-Ed contributors to alter their messages to conform to the paper's point of view...




P. Krugman
KRUGMAN TRUTH SQUAD
#30: OUR BANANA REPUBLICS



"Our Banana Republics" by Paul Krugman (07/30/02) is an extraordinarily weak column for a regular writer for the New York Times op-ed page. It's basically another formula piece and, as Squad readers know well, the target of such columns is always exactly the same–the Bush administration's irresponsible tax cut that is screwing hard working Americans out of their life savings, benefiting only the rich and destroying the solid fiscal foundation created by the Clinton administration. The only suspense, if one can call it that, is what pretext he will use to get to his target. In this case he ties to blame on the current administration for the sorry fiscal condition of some of our fifty states.

Obviously, the bubble of the late 90s affected state governments as much as it did private businesses and individuals, and, similarly, fiscal excesses by many states were common. Some states were more prudent than others and, depending on specific circumstances, some came through the bursting of the bubble in better shape than others. The ones that are hurting now will have to tighten their belts more than those that are not.

And that is about all there is to say on this subject UNLESS you are Paul Krugman looking for some connection to lie at the feet of the Bush administration!

But what makes this column particularly absurd is that the only connection he can conjure up involves the inane issue of why Tennessee does not yet look like Argentina. According to Krugman it has to do with the lack of sovereignty (surprise!) and the consequent safety net that can be provided when the federal budget is in good shape. But he never bothers to explain what the safety net is exactly, how it works or why it is less effective under Bush. Possibly he is referring to federal transfers to poorer states of which Tennessee is one. However, on the issue of transfers, he is on record as opposing them (see Squad report #8).

But all of this is just a digression. The larger point is that Krugman could care less if the connection is valid. He has only to convince his editors that he is breaking new ground in Bush culpability, and then he can cut and paste his way to an easy column by rehashing previous columns on deficits and fiscal irresponsibility. That's exactly what he has done today.

Whatever the Times is paying Krugman, it' s too much. Sending Bob Herbert to economics graduate school would have been cheaper.




Suman Palit puts it just right:

.. who needs enemies..! The career diplomats at the EU have decided that the time is just right to strengthen the hands of the mullahs in Iran - It is so much simpler to talk government to government, elite power-broker to elite power-broker, than to understand that the will of the people in Iran today is very distinct and different from the will of their rulers..!

Of course, this is coming from people who value stability over substance, stasis over change, control over freedom and compromise over principle. Never mind that their policies will hurt the common person in Iran over the longer term... never mind that the EU's state-subsidized companies stand to make billions in trade with a corrupt theocracy that exports terrorism and fear across the globe. Where is your conscience, Mr. Solana...? Where is your commitment to freedom and human-rights you taunt the rest of the world with..?

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Monday, July 29, 2002




A old friend wrote with some memories; I'll post a few of them ...

I was born in 1950, yet I remember:
• Milk, delivered by a milkman in glass bottles with a paper stopper. Cream would settle inside the top of the bottle. The bottles were delivered in a heavy wire "six pack" and a note in the empty bottle conveyed tomorrow's order.

• The Helms Bakery Van! A nifty-looking 1940's vintage panel truck with a whistle and impossibly long, immaculate oak drawers crammed with delicious-smelling goodies and treats and a white-clad and capped smiling driver.
Helms, Daily at your Door. Boy, that's a Southern California memory ... See 'em here and here
• Being rowed in a wooden rowboat with wooden oars to the far shore of the lake by my grandmother to pick wildflowers, or digging up worms by the coffee-can full out behind the grain elevators with my grandfather. Sitting on the basement steps drawing, while my grandmother did laundry in a washing machine with gear-driven rubber 'wringer' rollers that looked ancient even then.

• Pumping water with a hand-pump, using an outhouse during the day and (horror and embarrassment!) a chamber-pot at night; and keeping warm using a mica-lined wood-burning stove.
I didn't know my friend had so many "country" memories. I knew him in our suburban town, La Habra, in Orange County... though even that was still partly rural when we were young. Some open fields, and lots of citrus and avacado groves. Migrant workers, Mexican mostly, would show up for picking. They would build a little fire to heat their beans, and scoop them up with tortillas...
• Burma-Shave signs, with their clever little gags read a line at a time as the miles went by; faded "Chew Mail Pouch Tobacco" signs on rotting, half-collapsed barns of abandoned farmsteads. Rainwater barrels and screened porches for sleeping at night; Aunt Gertie's Cabin with a half-dozen cousins clambering around in a treehouse or stealing away to the long, silent rows of ripening corn across the road. The Hamms Beer jingle on the radio.'...from the land of sky-blue waters, Hamms, the beer refreshing. .. Hamms'.
Yeah, I've seen Burma Shave signs. They were red with white lettering, and always came in fives, four for the jingle, then the last one said Burma Shave... In this vale__Of toil and sin__Your head grows bald__But not your chin__Burma Shave.
The Mailpouch Tobacco signs were always painted on the roof of the barn, you could see them from far away.
• Phone prefixes, like "OXbow-2745", rotary dial phones with Bakelite housings, not having an area code; and long-distance calls requiring an operator. (The voices sounded scratchy and faint, and you dared not talk but a minute). ONE phone company- though Western Union was always there for death notifications and news of similar disasters. No Zip Codes, but you might have a Postal Zone like "L.A. 41".
My Aunt still has the same phone number I learned as a kid--but the LAmbert prefix is just numbers now.

These are just some of them; perhaps I'll post more soon...
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Arguments against the creation of a second Palestinian state
by Citizens for a Constructive UN

The UN is responsible for legitimizing and spreading the Arab propaganda line about "Israeli occupation of Arab land", "illegal Jewish settlements", and "the Palestinians' right to self-determination". The logical conclusion from this line is support for a second Palestinian-Arab state in Judea, Samaria and Gaza, in addition to the Palestinian-Arab state that already exists in Jordan. The article below represents the first part of a "catalogue" of arguments for opposing the creation of the second Palestinian-Arab state. The "catalogue" will be updated continually...

Sunday, July 28, 2002




Patrick Nielson Haydon takes me to task for a cartoonish and unfair treatment of Archbishop Williams. I'm afraid he's right; my usually irenic temper snapped at the news of his elevation to Canterbury. The problem is that for me, as well as Dave, the Anglican Communion is a spiritual home. Only I don't feel at home there any more! Years of frustration I've had no way to express (except staying away from church) were suddenly vented.

(Or maybe a lifetime of having my name mangled has made me peevish and irascible. It's spelled Weidner, and pronounced WIDE-ner. Pehaps this recent cantankerousness will become my norm, and I'll have to change the title to SlashBlog or something... )
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Vain human kind! Fantastic race!
Thy various follies who can trace?
Self-love, ambition, envy, pride,
Their empire in our hearts divide.
--Swift
Rob Schwarz wrote, regarding my rant about the Archbishop:
At least in America the vast majority of churchgoers are seen as conservative. Would a super-liberal Archbishop increase the number of worshipers or simply drive the last few out?...
I have little doubt that in England, as here, the churchgoers are more conservative than the church. In fact, every large organization (except businesses, and sometimes even them) tends to be taken over by leftists.

Why? Why does the same thing keep happening? It's because the leftys are the very people who think large organizations, rather than individuals, should be running everything. Therefore they are the ones who spend their career energies burrowing into soft berths in, say, the Red Cross, or the State Dept, or City Hall, or the Sierra Club, or the Archdiocese ...

But WHY do they love big organizations, and dislike any flourishing of individuals? It is because of this, written by one of my heroes:
John Adams

I believe there is no one principle, which predominates in Human Nature so much in every stage of Life, from the Cradle to the grave, in Males and Females, old and young, black and white, rich and poor, high and low, as this Passion for Superiority . . . . Every human Being compares itself in its own Imagination, with every other round it, and will find some superiority over every other real or imaginary, or it will die of Grief and Vexation.
-- John Adams, 1777

I think John Adams hit it exactly, and the passion for superiority is the driving force behind much of what happens in the world. What has this to do with individualism? Well, if people can do whatever they like with their lives, they do 10,000 different things! And that means that if you are, say, the Archbishop of Wales, and you are amazed at how clever and superior you are; for every person who agrees that you're hot shit, there are 9,999 who hardly care if you exist. Grief and Vexation indeed!

Now many of us have a few crumbs of humility, and we realize we just aren't going to be acclaimed as the superior beings we like to think we are. If you click away to another weblog because you find me boring, I'm cut to the heart, but c'est la vie, baby. That's life, gotta accept it.

But suppose I don't accept that? Suppose I'm the Archbishop of Wales and I'm wise and witty and profound; and being ignored by most of the world is not acceptable! What do I do? What are my options?

To start with I will be doing anything I can to get rid of this individualism stuff. All this sordid striving after private gains and personal desires will begin to be utterly repellant. I will discover, like a revelation, that the heart of my Christian Mission is the battle against consumerism and mass pleasures.

Of course I will gravitate towards government and large quasi-governmental organizations. The state (and its outriders) is the only thing that can over-rule the marketplace. It's therefore the only hope for combating these individualist evils.

AND I will find various tyrannical and un-democratic states to be not really all that obnoxious. (They will help me out by pretending to be striving for "social justice" or the good of workers and peasants, or some such.)

AND, I will discover that countries and groups that excel at individual achievement, democracy, and capitalism are horribly flawed, and in fact downright evil. And who will head the list of these monsters? Who always heads the list? AMERICANS and JEWS!

AND, what is another name for those who tend towards this loathing of individualism and freedom, and would like to see large governmental organizations take benevolent control of everything? We call them The Left! Now you know.

There, I've just explained about 80% of everything that happens. If you have thoroughly absorbed this lesson you've done enough, you and I can take the rest of the week off. Forget weblogs for a while. Start a good book. Perhaps Seven Suspects or something by Patrick O'Brian.
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(Via Powerline ) A very good Iran article from the Weekly Standard, Regime Change in Iran?

THOUGH OSAMA BIN LADEN, Afghanistan, Israel, and Iraq have commanded our attention since September 11, it is always good to remind ourselves that the most consequential country in the Muslim Middle East is Iran. This has been true, with a few intermissions, for a thousand years. ...

------

...Yet unless the ruling mullahs, or their terrorist stepchildren, the Lebanese Hezbollah, force Washington to respond to some egregious act of terrorism before the invasion of Iraq, the Bush administration ought to just let the clerics stew in their own mess. Thinking seriously about Iraq and Iran simultaneously might overwhelm the administration, which seemed completely consumed for a time by the rather small-scale war in Afghanistan.

Eventually, the administration may have to deal forcefully with the Lebanese Hezbollah--who remain perhaps the most lethal terrorist organization in the Middle East--and their Iranian and Syrian backers. The administration may have to tell the Russians, sooner rather than later, that their support of Iran's nuclear program is unacceptable. (If the Russians ignore us--and we should try to devise the most painful arm-twisting that we can for Moscow--then the administration ought to prepare for a military strike against the Bushehr reactor facility. Under no circumstances should the United States allow Bushehr to become operational.)

But for the time being, we should focus on the bully pulpit. The administration and Congress should ensure by some means that the unfortunately bankrupt National Iranian Television satellite channel in Los Angeles keeps on broadcasting to Iran (the ruling clerics detest this independent Iranian-American enterprise). Iranian expatriates living in the United States and the West have done enormous good for their homeland by prospering in emigration and by informing their friends and family in Iran--virtually everybody, given the way gossip works in the country--of their lives in the West. Iranian expatriates are the most consequential players in America's public diplomacy with the Muslim world.

President Bush, of course, doesn't need National Iranian Television broadcasts to beam his message into the Islamic Republic. Everything he says moves at lightspeed through the country. The president just needs to keep talking about freedom being the birthright of Muslim peoples. If he does so, he will do vastly more for the Iranian people than Mohammad Khatami ever will. And if history repeats itself--as goes Iran, so will go the Muslim world.